Forecast Comparison — All Runs
Weather Underground/TWC (WU), Station Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)
Morning (AM)
| Updated: 10-04-26 at 7:55 am |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° C |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| 10-04-26 |
21 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
11 |
21 |
|
21 |
14 |
|
15 |
15 |
|
16 |
8 |
|
10 |
| 10-03-26 |
21 |
20.0 |
18 |
11 |
10.4 |
9 |
21 |
|
19 |
12 |
|
10 |
22 |
|
21 |
13 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
21 |
13 |
|
11 |
| 10-02-26 |
22 |
20.9 |
18 |
12 |
11.4 |
11 |
21 |
20.0 |
18 |
10 |
10.4 |
12 |
22 |
|
21 |
13 |
|
10 |
23 |
|
21 |
13 |
|
12 |
| 10-01-26 |
21 |
20.6 |
21 |
12 |
10.7 |
11 |
22 |
20.9 |
18 |
13 |
11.4 |
13 |
22 |
20.0 |
20 |
11 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
|
19 |
13 |
|
12 |
| 09-30-26 |
23 |
23.6 |
24 |
14 |
13.8 |
16 |
21 |
20.6 |
21 |
11 |
10.7 |
12 |
22 |
20.9 |
21 |
12 |
11.4 |
13 |
22 |
20.0 |
21 |
12 |
10.4 |
10 |
| 09-29-26 |
26 |
23.4 |
24 |
20 |
19.8 |
18 |
22 |
23.6 |
24 |
14 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
20.6 |
21 |
12 |
10.7 |
10 |
22 |
20.9 |
20 |
12 |
11.4 |
11 |
| 09-28-26 |
20 |
19.4 |
19 |
16 |
16.3 |
14 |
25 |
23.4 |
21 |
20 |
19.8 |
18 |
22 |
23.6 |
21 |
14 |
13.8 |
14 |
21 |
20.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
11 |
| 09-27-26 |
23 |
22.7 |
20 |
12 |
13.4 |
12 |
19 |
19.4 |
17 |
15 |
16.3 |
13 |
25 |
23.4 |
21 |
20 |
19.8 |
17 |
21 |
23.6 |
20 |
14 |
13.8 |
13 |
| Results |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
6 |
|
5 |
7 |
|
5 |
6 |
|
3 |
6 |
|
5 |
5 |
|
3 |
5 |
|
4 |
3 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
4 |
| % Succ |
85.7 |
|
71.4 |
100.0 |
|
71.4 |
100.0 |
|
50.0 |
100.0 |
|
83.3 |
100.0 |
|
60.0 |
100.0 |
|
80.0 |
75.0 |
|
75.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
| Ave Error |
0.9 |
|
1.3 |
0.7 |
|
1.4 |
1.0 |
|
1.7 |
0.7 |
|
1.8 |
1.3 |
|
1.1 |
0.6 |
|
1.2 |
1.5 |
|
1.5 |
0.9 |
|
0.5 |
| Net Error |
0.8 |
|
-0.9 |
0.2 |
|
-0.7 |
0.4 |
|
-1.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
|
-0.9 |
0.6 |
|
-0.2 |
0.2 |
|
-1.0 |
0.9 |
|
-0.3 |
| Std Dev |
0.7 |
|
0.9 |
0.4 |
|
0.7 |
0.3 |
|
0.9 |
0.5 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Afternoon (PM)
| Updated: 10-04-26 at 1:55 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° C |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
| Date |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| 10-04-26 |
23 |
|
21 |
12 |
|
12 |
22 |
|
21 |
12 |
|
11 |
21 |
|
20 |
14 |
|
14 |
15 |
|
16 |
8 |
|
9 |
| 10-03-26 |
21 |
20.0 |
21 |
11 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
|
20 |
11 |
|
11 |
21 |
|
21 |
12 |
|
11 |
21 |
|
21 |
13 |
|
14 |
| 10-02-26 |
22 |
20.9 |
21 |
12 |
11.4 |
11 |
21 |
20.0 |
19 |
11 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
|
20 |
12 |
|
10 |
22 |
|
20 |
13 |
|
13 |
| 10-01-26 |
22 |
20.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
10 |
22 |
20.9 |
19 |
13 |
11.4 |
12 |
22 |
20.0 |
20 |
10 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
|
20 |
13 |
|
14 |
| 09-30-26 |
25 |
23.6 |
24 |
14 |
13.8 |
14 |
21 |
20.6 |
20 |
11 |
10.7 |
11 |
22 |
20.9 |
20 |
12 |
11.4 |
11 |
22 |
20.0 |
20 |
12 |
10.4 |
13 |
| 09-29-26 |
25 |
23.4 |
24 |
20 |
19.8 |
19 |
22 |
23.6 |
23 |
13 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
20.6 |
21 |
11 |
10.7 |
12 |
22 |
20.9 |
19 |
12 |
11.4 |
12 |
| 09-28-26 |
20 |
19.4 |
20 |
16 |
16.3 |
15 |
25 |
23.4 |
22 |
20 |
19.8 |
18 |
22 |
23.6 |
21 |
13 |
13.8 |
14 |
21 |
20.6 |
20 |
11 |
10.7 |
10 |
| Results |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
6 |
|
6 |
6 |
|
6 |
5 |
|
5 |
5 |
|
5 |
4 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
4 |
3 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
2 |
| % Succ |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
75.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
66.7 |
| Ave Error |
1.2 |
|
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
0.7 |
1.1 |
|
1.1 |
0.7 |
|
0.9 |
1.3 |
|
1.0 |
0.5 |
|
0.6 |
1.2 |
|
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
1.3 |
| Net Error |
1.2 |
|
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
-0.4 |
0.5 |
|
-1.1 |
0.4 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
|
-0.8 |
-0.1 |
|
0.4 |
1.2 |
|
-0.8 |
0.8 |
|
0.8 |
| Std Dev |
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Evening (EV)
| Updated: 10-04-26 at 5:55 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° C |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
| Date |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| 10-04-26 |
13 |
|
13 |
22 |
|
22 |
12 |
|
12 |
21 |
|
20 |
14 |
|
14 |
15 |
|
15 |
8 |
|
9 |
15 |
|
13 |
| 10-03-26 |
12 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
20.0 |
21 |
11 |
|
11 |
21 |
|
21 |
12 |
|
12 |
21 |
|
19 |
14 |
|
12 |
16 |
|
13 |
| 10-02-26 |
12 |
11.4 |
12 |
21 |
20.9 |
19 |
11 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
20.0 |
20 |
12 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
19 |
13 |
|
13 |
22 |
|
18 |
| 10-01-26 |
12 |
10.7 |
11 |
22 |
20.6 |
21 |
13 |
11.4 |
12 |
22 |
20.9 |
20 |
11 |
10.4 |
13 |
22 |
20.0 |
21 |
13 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
21 |
| 09-30-26 |
14 |
13.8 |
13 |
21 |
23.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
10 |
22 |
20.6 |
19 |
12 |
11.4 |
10 |
22 |
20.9 |
20 |
12 |
10.4 |
8 |
22 |
20.0 |
19 |
| 09-29-26 |
20 |
19.8 |
18 |
22 |
23.4 |
23 |
14 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
23.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
10 |
22 |
20.6 |
19 |
12 |
11.4 |
10 |
22 |
20.9 |
20 |
| 09-28-26 |
16 |
16.3 |
14 |
25 |
19.4 |
23 |
20 |
19.8 |
17 |
22 |
23.4 |
23 |
13 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
23.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
11 |
22 |
20.6 |
20 |
| 09-27-26 |
13 |
13.4 |
12 |
19 |
22.7 |
18 |
16 |
16.3 |
12 |
24 |
19.4 |
21 |
20 |
19.8 |
15 |
21 |
23.4 |
19 |
14 |
13.8 |
14 |
21 |
23.6 |
20 |
| Results |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
7 |
|
6 |
4 |
|
4 |
6 |
|
4 |
4 |
|
5 |
5 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
3 |
3 |
|
3 |
| % Succ |
100.0 |
|
85.7 |
57.1 |
|
57.1 |
100.0 |
|
66.7 |
66.7 |
|
83.3 |
100.0 |
|
60.0 |
60.0 |
|
60.0 |
100.0 |
|
75.0 |
75.0 |
|
75.0 |
| Ave Error |
0.7 |
|
1.1 |
2.4 |
|
2.2 |
0.7 |
|
1.7 |
2.2 |
|
1.4 |
0.7 |
|
2.1 |
1.9 |
|
2.3 |
0.9 |
|
1.1 |
1.8 |
|
1.5 |
| Net Error |
0.5 |
|
-0.7 |
0.2 |
|
-0.8 |
0.6 |
|
-0.9 |
0.9 |
|
-0.8 |
0.4 |
|
-0.6 |
-0.1 |
|
-1.9 |
0.9 |
|
-0.8 |
0.5 |
|
-1.5 |
| Std Dev |
0.5 |
|
0.7 |
1.6 |
|
1.3 |
0.5 |
|
0.8 |
0.6 |
|
1.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
0.9 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
Night (NI)
| Updated: 10-04-26 at 9:55 pm |
| Goal |
Forecast Day |
Day +1 |
Day +2 |
Day +3 |
| ± 2.0° C |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
High |
| Date |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| 10-04-26 |
12 |
|
12 |
22 |
|
21 |
13 |
|
11 |
21 |
|
20 |
14 |
|
13 |
15 |
|
15 |
8 |
|
8 |
15 |
|
13 |
| 10-03-26 |
12 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
21.6 |
21 |
12 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
21 |
12 |
|
12 |
22 |
|
19 |
14 |
|
12 |
16 |
|
13 |
| 10-02-26 |
12 |
11.4 |
12 |
21 |
20.0 |
20 |
11 |
10.4 |
11 |
22 |
21.6 |
20 |
12 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
19 |
13 |
|
14 |
22 |
|
19 |
| 10-01-26 |
12 |
10.7 |
11 |
22 |
20.9 |
21 |
13 |
11.4 |
11 |
22 |
20.0 |
19 |
10 |
10.4 |
13 |
22 |
21.6 |
21 |
14 |
|
11 |
22 |
|
21 |
| 09-30-26 |
14 |
13.8 |
13 |
21 |
20.6 |
21 |
11 |
10.7 |
10 |
22 |
20.9 |
19 |
12 |
11.4 |
11 |
22 |
20.0 |
20 |
10 |
10.4 |
9 |
21 |
21.6 |
19 |
| 09-29-26 |
20 |
19.8 |
19 |
23 |
23.6 |
23 |
14 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
20.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
10 |
22 |
20.9 |
20 |
13 |
11.4 |
10 |
22 |
20.0 |
20 |
| 09-28-26 |
16 |
16.3 |
15 |
26 |
23.4 |
23 |
20 |
19.8 |
18 |
23 |
23.6 |
23 |
14 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
20.6 |
20 |
12 |
10.7 |
11 |
22 |
20.9 |
19 |
| 09-27-26 |
13 |
13.4 |
15 |
19 |
19.4 |
20 |
15 |
16.3 |
14 |
24 |
23.4 |
21 |
20 |
19.8 |
16 |
21 |
23.6 |
20 |
14 |
13.8 |
15 |
21 |
20.6 |
20 |
| Results |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
WU |
Act |
WS |
| # Succ |
7 |
|
7 |
6 |
|
7 |
6 |
|
5 |
6 |
|
5 |
5 |
|
3 |
4 |
|
4 |
4 |
|
4 |
4 |
|
3 |
| % Succ |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
85.7 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
83.3 |
100.0 |
|
83.3 |
100.0 |
|
60.0 |
80.0 |
|
80.0 |
100.0 |
|
100.0 |
100.0 |
|
75.0 |
| Ave Error |
0.7 |
|
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
0.4 |
0.7 |
|
1.2 |
0.9 |
|
1.4 |
0.5 |
|
1.7 |
1.3 |
|
1.1 |
0.9 |
|
1.1 |
1.0 |
|
1.3 |
| Net Error |
0.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.6 |
|
-0.1 |
0.3 |
|
-0.6 |
0.6 |
|
-1.4 |
0.4 |
|
-0.2 |
0.3 |
|
-1.1 |
0.7 |
|
-0.3 |
0.7 |
|
-1.3 |
| Std Dev |
0.5 |
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
|
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
0.6 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|