Forecast Runs

Compare each scheduled WXSIM forecast with WU/TWC and the observed temperatures.

Updated: 10-04-26 at 5:55 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
10-04-26 13   13 22   22 12   12 21   20 14   14 15   15 8   9 15   13
10-03-26 12 10.4 11 22 20.0 21 11   11 21   21 12   12 21   19 14   12 16   13
10-02-26 12 11.4 12 21 20.9 19 11 10.4 11 22 20.0 20 12   11 22   19 13   13 22   18
10-01-26 12 10.7 11 22 20.6 21 13 11.4 12 22 20.9 20 11 10.4 13 22 20.0 21 13   11 22   21
09-30-26 14 13.8 13 21 23.6 20 12 10.7 10 22 20.6 19 12 11.4 10 22 20.9 20 12 10.4 8 22 20.0 19
09-29-26 20 19.8 18 22 23.4 23 14 13.8 15 21 23.6 20 12 10.7 10 22 20.6 19 12 11.4 10 22 20.9 20
09-28-26 16 16.3 14 25 19.4 23 20 19.8 17 22 23.4 23 13 13.8 15 21 23.6 20 12 10.7 11 22 20.6 20
09-27-26 13 13.4 12 19 22.7 18 16 16.3 12 24 19.4 21 20 19.8 15 21 23.4 19 14 13.8 14 21 23.6 20
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 7 6 4 4 6 4 4 5 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 3
% Succ 100.0   85.7 57.1   57.1 100.0   66.7 66.7   83.3 100.0   60.0 60.0   60.0 100.0   75.0 75.0   75.0
Ave Error 0.7   1.1 2.4   2.2 0.7   1.7 2.2   1.4 0.7   2.1 1.9   2.3 0.9   1.1 1.8   1.5
Net Error 0.5   -0.7 0.2   -0.8 0.6   -0.9 0.9   -0.8 0.4   -0.6 -0.1   -1.9 0.9   -0.8 0.5   -1.5
Std Dev 0.5   0.7 1.6   1.3 0.5   0.8 0.6   1.1 0.1   0.4 0.4   0.9 0.0   0.0 0.0   0.0